The next five years are most likely to bring a strong El NiSpanish El Niño bringing more drought catastrophic events

Living through the same tragedy every couple of years can be disastrous; a weather cycle that brings paralyzing drought and hunger to East Africa, threatening the lives and livelihoods of millions of people in Ethiopia, Somalia, or Kenya.

The weather cycle which causes these episodes is a climate change-driven ‘La Niña’.

If this supplementary heat lies in the Western Pacific and Eastern Indian Ocean, it will contribute to successive droughts in Kenya, Somalia, and Southern Ethiopia.

If, for example, the Eastern Pacific is warmer, the Pacific aggravates the intensity of droughts in northern Ethiopia and southern Africa.

The coming year should bring a further La Niña-like series of droughts across East Africa.

For example, good El Niño prognoses in 2015 and 2018 were based on dry rainy seasons in Southern Africa.

It is now time to bring about this transformation.


A drought is an event of prolonged shortages in the water supply, whether atmospheric , surface water or ground water. A drought can last for months or years, (wikipedia)

Climate change

Climate change includes both global warming driven by human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases and the resulting large-scale shifts in weather patterns. (wikipedia)

El Niño–Southern Oscillation

El Niño–Southern Oscillation is an irregular periodic variation in winds and sea surface temperatures over the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean, (wikipedia)

East Africa

Eastern Africa is the eastern region of the African continent, variably defined by geography. In the United Nations Statistics Division scheme of geographic regions (wikipedia)

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