Hurricane Ida strengthened overnight and developed into a Category 4 storm within hours
While researchers cannot say for certain whether anthropogenic climate change would produce longer or more active hurricane seasons in the future, there is widespread agreement on a point: global warming is changing storms.
“Potential intensity is going up,”Kerry Emanuel
“The maximum energy potential is starting to increase,” said Kerry Emanuel, a professor of atmospheric sciences at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
In a 2017 paper, which relied on climate and hurricane models, Emanuel found that storms that accelerate rapidly and raise wind speed by 70 km / h or more are rare in the period from 1976 to 2005.
Indeed, each degree of warming of the air allows for approximately 7% more water to absorb.
He estimated that storms that quickly strengthen in the 24 hours before landing as well as increase their wind speed by 70 km / h or more generally occur once per century on average during these times.
Kossin likened the problem to strolling through the backyard, used a hose with water on the floor.
This could mean those storms that come ashore at higher latitudes such as the US or Japan.