In the next several years, the disaster-weary globe will be hit by more disasters bumping up into each other in an interconnected world, according to the scientific report released by the United Nations Office for Disaster Mitigation on Monday.

If current trends continue, the world will rise from about 400 disasters per year in 2015 to an average of about 560 disasters per year by 2030, according to a recent UN disaster risk reduction report.

In contrast, between 1970 and 2000, the world endured only 90 to 100 medium-sized to major-scale disasters annually, the United Nations Office for Disaster risk reduction’s scientific report showed.

The number of heat waves in 2030 will more than triple from 2001, with droughts increasing by 30%, the report predicted.

It isn’t only natural catastrophes aggravated by climate change; it’s Covid-19, economic meltdowns, food shortages.

Climate change is causing more extreme weather events, the report says, adding that people have made choices that are too narrow and too bullish about the risk of potential disasters, leaving them unprepared.

Catastrophes hit poorer countries harder than richer ones, where the recovery costs of industries in countries that can’t afford them take a larger chunk away, said co-author Markus Enenkel of the Harvard Humanitarian Initiative.

Pulwarty said that if society changes the way it thinks about risks and prepares for disaster, then the recent spike in annual catastrophe deaths “might be temporary” or it would likely be “the new abnormal”

Roger Pulwarty

Roger S. Pulwarty is a scientist from Trinidad and Tobago and contributed to the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change . (wikipedia)